Operations & supply chain
Forecast & Inventory Model
A method for forecasting demand and setting buffers and reorder logic – so inventory decisions are based on expected demand and lead times.
Service · Operations & supply chain
Forecasting & Inventory
Forecasting and decision support for inventory and availability – so you hold the stock that sells, where it sells, without tying up more cash than needed.
The decision
Stock-outs cost sales, ranking and advertising efficiency; overstock costs cash, storage fees and markdowns. With several markets, fulfilment models and long lead times, a forecast built on last year’s sales is rarely good enough.
We improve the forecast and connect it to concrete inventory decisions: how much to order, when, and where to hold it. The result is a model your team can run and a set of rules for buffers, reorder points and exceptions.
Who it is for
Operations, supply chain and e-commerce teams in businesses with seasonal demand, long lead times or stock spread across several warehouses, marketplaces and fulfilment models.
At a glance
How we deliver
- ProjectA defined scope, timeline and deliverable.
- Recurring analysisThe same analysis updated monthly or quarterly.
Typical KPIs
- Forecast accuracy
- In-stock rate
- Days of cover
Typically relevant for
- COO
- Operations / Supply Chain Manager
- E-commerce Director
Decisions this helps you make
- Set inventory levelsOperations & supply chain
- Improve the forecastOperations & supply chain
- Choose the fulfilment modelOperations & supply chain
What the work covers
- Assessment of current forecast accuracy and its causes
- Forecast model adjusted for seasonality, promotions and trends
- Reorder logic and buffer levels per product and location
- Choice of fulfilment model where relevant
- Routine for exceptions, follow-up and model updates
What we clarify in a first conversation
- How is the forecast made today, and by whom?
- Where do stock-outs or overstock hurt most?
- What are your lead times and minimum order quantities?
- Which systems hold sales and inventory data?
Methods we use
Is this the decision in front of you?
Tell us where you are today. In a first conversation we clarify the decision, the data available and what a sensible scope would look like.